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Could run to $55mil or $70mil ultimately. This line should have not been moved from 3rd & Kearny but at least the upside is the mezzanine level at 3rd & Market is now available for a Geary corridor line to cross.
So difficult to predict but such a truncated route might not generate so much traffic when you add on the time to get down to trackside and wait for a train. Downtown to Chinatown is an easy walk; I must have gone thru the Stockton tunnel a thousand times over the years.
We will have to see what route the brainiacs of Muni planning come up with for the Stubway extension north of Washington Square. Recall right now there is not even a station in North Beach.