 |
Re: Yes, this is a terrible transfer, so what's new?
Author: BOB2
Date: 11-19-2019 - 11:22
The extra walk and/or wait time for a bus will seriously deter ridership, all other things being considered. We actually "know" from behavioral data we've collected, and "on average" that folks consider that time to count against travel time, at 3 times the "cost" time spent moving to their destination in the transit vehicle. But, the same folks whining about this problem, discussed numerous times on AP.
Since the "on average", on which this negative "disutility" multiplier is composed of very short waits, walks, and transfers, and very long waits, walks, or transfers, and Lark Spur Ferry to SMART being "very long" that they might be out on the "negative" tail of that bimodal average distribution. But, since this is actually a "demand" function, and thus ad demand "curve" (not two supply and demand lines making the "average" cost, but the intercept of two supply and demand curves), the effects on the "tails" of this distribution of (riders turned off by the hassles of this inconvenience...) effect, it would likely be more than the "on average" 3 times the hassle.... A walk and transfer time might cause folks to perceive it as 6 times the hassle, or 9 times the hassle (depending on what the "data" we observe from that part of the curve tells us.
However, since this is a train/ferry transfer, involving longer distances traveled, in a very congested travel time corridor, it will offset the implicit "hassle" "cost" penalty of the long walk and transfer time a slight amount, because this is less of a factor between what are perceived to be "higher quality" (more comfortable, more reliable...) transit modes.
SMART should go right on to the ferry dock, out over the parking lot, right up to the damned boat, as close to the gangplank as possible for he shortest fricking transfer. And, with better leadership and better management, and more support for that kind of more effective investment by the Board, management, and voters/taxpayers (who have to pony up the money), it can still be done, in the future.
As I used to tell my clients who were interested in doing choo-choo as a mode....all it takes is money. I also told them there were tradeoffs, between expenditures choices, and outcomes, like ridership... For now, this is the choice SMART has made.
This is your introduction to urban transit planning 101 class for today. This will be on the final exam.
Since the "on average", on which this negative "disutility" multiplier is composed of very short waits, walks, and transfers, and very long waits, walks, or transfers, and Lark Spur Ferry to SMART being "very long" that they might be out on the "negative" tail of that bimodal average distribution. But, since this is actually a "demand" function, and thus ad demand "curve" (not two supply and demand lines making the "average" cost, but the intercept of two supply and demand curves), the effects on the "tails" of this distribution of (riders turned off by the hassles of this inconvenience...) effect, it would likely be more than the "on average" 3 times the hassle.... A walk and transfer time might cause folks to perceive it as 6 times the hassle, or 9 times the hassle (depending on what the "data" we observe from that part of the curve tells us.
However, since this is a train/ferry transfer, involving longer distances traveled, in a very congested travel time corridor, it will offset the implicit "hassle" "cost" penalty of the long walk and transfer time a slight amount, because this is less of a factor between what are perceived to be "higher quality" (more comfortable, more reliable...) transit modes.
SMART should go right on to the ferry dock, out over the parking lot, right up to the damned boat, as close to the gangplank as possible for he shortest fricking transfer. And, with better leadership and better management, and more support for that kind of more effective investment by the Board, management, and voters/taxpayers (who have to pony up the money), it can still be done, in the future.
As I used to tell my clients who were interested in doing choo-choo as a mode....all it takes is money. I also told them there were tradeoffs, between expenditures choices, and outcomes, like ridership... For now, this is the choice SMART has made.
This is your introduction to urban transit planning 101 class for today. This will be on the final exam.
