Re: America’s trucking industry faces a shortage. Meet the immigrants helping fill the gap
Author: mook
Date: 04-27-2016 - 19:51
Driverless vehicles of all types, including trucks and eventually planes, trains, automobiles, and ships, are the logical result of the automation of everything. And it's the classic reaction of capital to increased labor cost - if you can't bring in low-cost immigrants to keep the labor costs down, or move to someplace else where labor is still (relatively) cheap, and you can't (or don't want to) pay more because it would reduce profits (on which your salary as a CEO and your investors' dividends and capital gains depend), you automate everything in sight. The few humans that remain are essentially caretakers and troubleshooters, with a very few getting paid high salaries for technically difficult and occasionally innovative work, and most of the remaining few getting paid minimum wage cleaning up after the machines' messes. Yes, it doesn't always (or yet) go that far, but it will. Call it the final triumph of capital over labor.
On the plus side, there's always the potential for an "underground" economy that does things on a small scale, perhaps with some automation but also with people because people can adapt and innovate quickly. That might help on the information management and even manufacturing side - crafts producing high-quality goods and services for the 500-a few thousand people who are in charge of (own) everything. Won't help with transportation, though - the scale required for effective transportation requires the big stuff, and automation.
The resemblance to some dystopian science fiction is strong. Note that the dystopian novels usually revolve around somebody who bucks the system, gains a following, and carries off either a mass departure to some utopian situation, or a revolution. Not a happy view of the future. I hope something better evolves before that happens.